Comments on: A Bold Prediction http://www.thetalentshow.org/2004/05/28/a-bold-prediction/ Just another WordPress weblog Sat, 30 Aug 2008 02:36:24 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.2 By: joe http://www.thetalentshow.org/2004/05/28/a-bold-prediction/#comment-2776 joe Tue, 01 Jun 2004 14:05:23 +0000 http://www.thetalentshow.org/2004/05/28/a-bold-prediction/#comment-2776 It IS Kerry's election to lose, but since that's what Democrats are good at, I don't find that very reassuring. As for the "foregone conclusion" states, the worst possible choice would be not to fight for them. The way things are going Kerry could rip one or two states out of Bush's camp, with a sustained effort. What's more, it's important to treat voters in "foregone" states as if their opinions mattered, as it helps move those states to the middle and left, while bringing out voters for the local Democrats and helping create a left-of-center House and Senate. It IS Kerry’s election to lose, but since that’s what Democrats are good at, I don’t find that very reassuring.

As for the “foregone conclusion” states, the worst possible choice would be not to fight for them. The way things are going Kerry could rip one or two states out of Bush’s camp, with a sustained effort. What’s more, it’s important to treat voters in “foregone” states as if their opinions mattered, as it helps move those states to the middle and left, while bringing out voters for the local Democrats and helping create a left-of-center House and Senate.

]]> By: dAnimal http://www.thetalentshow.org/2004/05/28/a-bold-prediction/#comment-2775 dAnimal Tue, 01 Jun 2004 00:31:22 +0000 http://www.thetalentshow.org/2004/05/28/a-bold-prediction/#comment-2775 I have a strong suspicion about any email or online polling. I think they have a tendency to veer more left of center than the actual population does, despite the safeguards they use to prevent that. I have a strong suspicion about any email or online polling. I think they have a tendency to veer more left of center than the actual population does, despite the safeguards they use to prevent that.

]]> By: Anna in Cairo http://www.thetalentshow.org/2004/05/28/a-bold-prediction/#comment-2774 Anna in Cairo Sun, 30 May 2004 07:52:52 +0000 http://www.thetalentshow.org/2004/05/28/a-bold-prediction/#comment-2774 I notice all the stories re: Kerry rising and Bush falling in polls are tied to the Zogby polling companies. Why Zogby? Is Zogby going out on a limb here? If not, why don't the other polling companies make the same sorts of predictions? Is it possible that Zogby has a vested interest in Kerry for some reason or is trying to build him up? I am for Kerry but I am just pointing out that this pattern looks a bit odd. I notice all the stories re: Kerry rising and Bush falling in polls are tied to the Zogby polling companies. Why Zogby? Is Zogby going out on a limb here? If not, why don’t the other polling companies make the same sorts of predictions? Is it possible that Zogby has a vested interest in Kerry for some reason or is trying to build him up? I am for Kerry but I am just pointing out that this pattern looks a bit odd.

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