On The Ropes
Tuesday, July 20th, 2004Man, oh, man am I in a chipper mood lately. Articles like this showing how badly Bush is stumbling on the campaign trail only add to my optimism :
After launching two wars, President Bush said on Tuesday he wanted to be a “peace president” and took swipes at his senate rivals for being lawyers and weak on defense.With polls showing public support for the war in Iraq in decline, the Republican president cast himself as a reluctant warrior as he campaigned in the battleground state of Iowa against Democrat John Kerry and his running mate, former trial lawyer John Edwards. Bush lost the state in 2000 by only a few thousand votes.
“The enemy declared war on us,” he told a re-election rally. “Nobody wants to be the war president. I want to be the peace president.”
Bush has called himself a “war president” in leading the United States in a battle against terrorism brought about by the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on America.
“I’m a war president. I make decisions here in the Oval Office in foreign policy matters with war on my mind,” he said in February.
Do you hear that?? That sound you hear is the Kerry campaign throwing these two clips together into their “Who’s the real flip-flopper?” commercial.
What’s adding to my optimism is polls like this that validate the historical trends that undecided voters are unlikely to vote for the incumbent :
Last week, Fabrizio McLaughlin and Associates, a GOP polling firm, released a strategy memo based on their recent Battleground State Survey that reveals undecided voters “are currently poised to break away from President Bush and to John Kerry.”Among the reasons:
They are more than twice as likely to see things headed down the wrong track as compared to voters overall. They give President Bush a net negative job approval rating. A solid majority sees the Country as being worse off than they were 4 years ago. They are significantly more pessimistic about the current state of the nation?s economy. They are significantly more likely to favor the federal government doing more as opposed to doing less. The conclusion: “Clearly, if these undecided voters were leaning any harder against the door of the Kerry camp, they would crash right through it.”
Kerry is already kicking Bush’s ass in the electoral vote polls which is a huge deal considering that most voters barely know who Kerry is. Next week’s senate convention should help solidify Kerry’s support by convincing those who have already fled Bush to stuck with the Johns.





