For those of you who frequent Electoral-Vote.com, this map should seem familiar to you :
This is the result of the latest state polls which gives Kerry a 307/231 lead over Bush in the electoral college. At first glance you might think this means Kerry’s got a comfortable 76-point lead, but let’s look at this another way.
With 270 electoral votes needed to win, all it takes is a couple swing states to change the outcome. Looking at the map above, if those results held until election day but Missouri and Florida ended up going for Bush, we’d end up with a 269-point tie. If that were to happen (and it’s a definite possibility), the election would be decided by…you guessed it, the Republican-controlled House of Representatives.