Tie!
Wanna see something scary? Here’s what happens when you assign all of the Pollster.com toss-up states as they stand right now :
It’s been too long since our last constitutional crisis.
For the record, I don’t think there’s a chance in hell that this will be the result on election day. I think McCain’s chances of winning New Hampshire have always been overrated and that Obama has a good chance of winning Nevada, Ohio, Indiana, Virginia, and Florida. And that’s all before you account for the fact that (1) the lack of cell phone-only voters in polling samples is probably under-representing Obama’s support, (2) Obama has a better ground operation and has been registering new voters by the tens of thousands in the states that matter, and (3) the economic downturn will drive more undecided voters away from Keating Five-veteran McCain. Add to that the fact that Obama currently has the momentum of the race and that John McCain is going to seem like a self-righteous Mr. Magoo in the debates, I still insist that the race is still Obama’s to lose.
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