I don’t exactly have a great track record when it comes to predictions, but my feeling is that the Obama campaign has the wind at their backs right now and that will end up pushing him past the finish line in all of the major swing states. Here’s the map as I see it :

My guess is that Obama will not only win the states that every other guess is giving him (FL, PA, OH, VA), but states like Montana, Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota, and South Carolina, where I see a wave of national support making the crucial difference tomorrow. I think what we’re going to see is undecided voters looking at the choice between a candidate that makes them feel good and one that makes them feel bad, and going with the former.

That said, I think Georgia, Arizona, and Nebraska’s second congressional districts will be close, but ultimately go to McCain. If Obama has a better night than I predict, those will be the states that fall into his column. If he has a slightly worse night, I think North Carolina or Indiana will fall out of Obama’s grasp. I’ve got a really good feeling about North Dakota and Montana. Obama’s got some serious momentum there and I think having guys like MT Gov. Brian Schweitzer out there on the campaign trail will make all the difference.

In terms of the Senate races, I’m thinking Franken is a lock in Minnesota (have you noticed an optimistic streak yet?). Granted, he’s barely ahead of Norm Coleman in the current polls, but there are three things I think will lean the race more in Franken’s direction : (1) Coleman is suing Franken because an ad hurt his feelings, which just makes him look like a total ass-wipe. (2) Coleman keeps making a big deal out of Franken’s some of the dirtier jokes Franken has told over the years, which makes him look like a little crybaby bitch. (3) Support for the independent candidate in the race may erode and that support would likely go against the incumbent. Also, Norm Coleman looks like what would happen if Eric Roberts was hit in the face with a brick.

I think the Georgia and Kentucky Senate races are going to be tougher to pull off, though a strong showing by Obama might just push the Georgia race over the top. I hope so, because if there’s any incumbent that I want to see thrown out on his ass, it’s Saxby Chambliss, the dickhead who won his Senate seat by comparing his opponent to Osama Bin Laden.

I just realized that as this post went on, I was using more and more profanity. Well, here’s a little more for you : Fuck Proposition 8. While other states have had anti-gay marriage ballot measures that are largely toothless since those states don’t even allow gay marriage in the first place, California’s Prop. 8 would have the effect of nullifying thousands of marriages because a bunch of insecure heterosexuals are uncomfortable with the notion of two dudes kissing. After looking really scary for a while, I’m predicting that Prop. 8 will fail. The sudden surge support for “Yes on 8″ caught a lot of people by surprise, but the “No on 8″ campaign has come back in a big way with quite a few sobering television ads as well as the support of Schwarzenegger and Obama.

UPDATE : The DailyKos embeddable map was messed up, so I created a screenshot instead. In my haste, I accidentally turned WV blue. My actual prediction is that WV will stay red. I see Markos’s map is similar to mine, though he sees MT & ND staying red and GA going Dem.